RAJ REPORT

LNP will win Queensland State Election EASILY —48 LNP VS 36 LABOR with 10 % SWING

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Legislative Assembly Calculator

Use the calculator to model the election outcome by applying a uniform swing to results of the 2010 election after adjustments for the redistributions.

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Newspoll (The Australian) 7-9 Jan 2015
Galaxy (Courier-Mail) 7-9 Jan 2015
Reachtel (7 News) 6 Jan 2015
Newspoll (The Australian) Oct-Dec 2014
Reachtel (7 News/Sunday Mail) 28 Nov 2014
Galaxy (Courier-Mail) 18-19 Nov 2014 voter prefs
Reachtel (7 News/Sunday Mail) 9 Oct 2014
Newspoll (The Australian) Jul-Sep 2014

%
Swing
%
2PP
Overall swingLaborLNP10.153.0

If you shift the slider in the red direction (to the left), you are building a swing to Labor. If you move the slider in the blue direction (to the right) you are entering a swing to the Coalition. Learn more »

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PREDICTED OUTCOME

LNP wins election

Labor seats won

36 (+27)

LNP seats won

48 (-26)

Other seats won

5

SEAT-BY-SEAT PREDICTION

Labor Party

MiraniGainedALP 0.4%
Toowoomba NorthGainedALP 0.5%
StrettonGainedALP 0.5%
MurrumbaGainedALP 0.6%
Ferny GroveGainedALP 0.6%
Barron RiverGainedALP 0.6%
AlgesterGainedALP 1.0%
CairnsGainedALP 1.2%
Ipswich WestGainedALP 2.9%
ThuringowaGainedALP 3.4%
KeppelGainedALP 3.7%
AshgroveGainedALP 4.4%
MorayfieldGainedALP 4.5%
Mount Coot-thaGainedALP 4.7%
Brisbane CentralGainedALP 5.2%
TownsvilleGainedALP 5.3%
LoganGainedALP 5.3%
IpswichGainedALP 5.9%
CapalabaGainedALP 6.4%
CookGainedALP 6.7%
NudgeeGainedALP 7.0%
SandgateGainedALP 7.2%
GreenslopesGainedALP 7.6%
LyttonGainedALP 8.5%
YeerongpillyGainedALP 8.7%
WaterfordGainedALP 9.1%
MackayALP 9.1%
BulimbaGainedALP 10.0%
MulgraveALP 11.2%
BundambaALP 11.9%
RockhamptonALP 14.0%
WoodridgeALP 14.4%
InalaALP 17.0%
RedcliffeALP 17.2%
StaffordALP 22.1%

Liberal National Party

MundingburraLNP 0.09%
SunnybankLNP 0.1%
WhitsundayLNP 0.6%
BurleighLNP 0.9%
MansfieldLNP 1.0%
BroadwaterLNP 1.2%
AlbertLNP 1.8%
PumicestoneLNP 2.0%
KallangurLNP 2.3%
EvertonLNP 3.1%
Pine RiversLNP 3.6%
ChatsworthLNP 4.0%
SouthportLNP 4.6%
SpringwoodLNP 5.3%
BurdekinLNP 5.8%
BurnettLNP 7.3%
ClevelandLNP 8.0%
BundabergLNP 8.1%
HinchinbrookLNP 8.8%
MaryboroughLNP 9.1%
RedlandsLNP 9.5%
CurrumbinLNP 10.1%
Glass HouseLNP 10.3%
ClayfieldLNP 10.5%
MaroochydoreLNP 10.8%
LockyerLNP 11.1%
CaloundraLNP 11.1%
Hervey BayLNP 11.6%
AspleyLNP 11.6%
BeaudesertLNP 12.2%
MoggillLNP 12.3%
CoomeraLNP 13.2%
GregoryLNP 13.9%
GympieLNP 14.4%
CallideLNP 14.4%
NanangoLNP 14.6%
NoosaLNP 15.4%
MudgeerabaLNP 15.8%
BuderimLNP 15.9%
Mermaid BeachLNP 15.9%
KawanaLNP 16.2%
WarregoLNP 16.5%
CondamineLNP 16.7%

Other

Concept: Antony Green; Development: Andrew Kesper & Colin Gourlay

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